Longchamp Races: Betting Preview, racecard and tips for today’s Group 1 Prix du Moulin as Pinatubo heads the betting

A small but select field are set for Sunday's big race in France.

Aidan O'Brien, Charlie Appleby and Ger Lyons all have their big guns primed for the Group 1 over a mile with six competing for the £130,000 first prize.

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Pinatubo sits pretty at the top of the betting as you might expect.

The Godolphin sensation has silenced a few doubters of late, winning the Group 1 Prix Jean Prat last time out.

But to me that looked a pretty flimsy race for the grade and at short odds verging on even money, he sets the market up nicely.

There are still slight doubts about his effectiveness over a mile, especially with give in the ground. His weapon has always been his turn of foot and that may be blunted in a truly run race.

Siskin is a similar type in that speed is king and plenty of his big race wins have come with his acceleration coming to the fore.

He looked the winner of the Sussex Stakes last time out, travelling into it like a dream and was the last off the bridle under Colin Keane.

Saying he didn't stay would probably be a step too far, but he certainly wasn't finishing as well as others.

I still think he'd be best over six and seven furlongs, but you can't blame connections for wanting another big race to their name over a mile.

And the reason for wanting to take the above pair on is a certain CIRCUS MAXIMUS who should ensure this is run at a true gallop, despite the small field.

Aidan O'Brien is able to call upon Ryan Moore after exemptions for jockeys were brought in and the rider knows this horse like the back of his hand.

He'll kick out in front and if he can get his fractions spot on, he could well take this. Go too slow and he'll lose in a sprint, too fast and he'll struggle to get home. I back Moore to get it right.

It's easy to forgive his run last time out behind Palace Pier – that clearly wasn't his running.

His Queen Anne win at Royal Ascot and arguably even his second in the Sussex Stakes is stronger form than Pinatubo's win in France.

He had to give 8lbs to the younger horses at Goodwood, and that's down to 5lbs now. He looks a massive price in my book.

Romanised has to be respected. Last year's winner would have had this race lined up a long way out.

But at a similar price to Circus Maximus, I know which camp I'd be in.

Andre Fabre represents the home team with Persian King and Victor Ludorum.

Both need to find a few pounds and more to win this. Although the drop back in trip for the latter looks a wise move.

Once again it looks like the French will come up short in their big race.

BETTING ADVICE:

  • 1pt win CIRCUS MAXIMUS – 5-1 Coral

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