NFL wild-card weekend best bets: Picks for every game
It’s the NFL postseason, and ESPN betting analysts Doug Kezirian (2-1 last week, 21-31-2 overall), Joe Fortenbaugh (2-1, 33-56-1), Anita Marks (15-2, 107-100-2), Preston Johnson (0-0, 15-20), Mike Clay (0-0, 16-10) and Tyler Fulghum (2-3, 60-81-2), sports betting deputy editor David Bearman (3-0, 34-22), Seth Walder (2-0, 50-31) of ESPN analytics and Aaron Schatz (2-2, 42-45-2) of Football Outsiders are here to tell us what bets they like from this weekend’s wild-card slate.
Note: Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill and subject to change.
Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills (-6.5, 51), 1:05 p.m. ET
Fulghum: This matchup pits the strengths of each offense against the weakness of each defense. We know Josh Allen is playing as well as any quarterback in the league right now — with considerable help from wide receiver Stefon Diggs. Colts DC Matt Eberflus operates an extreme pass funnel defense. Indianapolis was second in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (90.5) and yards per rush allowed (3.71) this season. On the other hand, the Colts defense was 20th or worse during the last four weeks of the regular season in QBR against, TD passes allowed and yards per game allowed. Jonathan Taylor gets the easier matchup against a Bills run defense that has been pedestrian all season, so expect a heavy dose of the rookie.
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