All the places that could go straight into Tier 3 when coronavirus lockdown ends
When England’s national lockdown ends we will be returned to the three-tier system, Boris Johnson has promised.
The three-tier system was used to tackle the spread of Covid-19 before the shutdown in November.
Current lockdown restrictions will legally lapse on December 2, meaning MPs would need to vote again on whether to shut the country down for any longer.
Senior MPs such as Robert Jenrick and Matt Hancock have said that the plan is for tiers to be reintroduced.
Regions would be measured individually and placed in Tier One, Two or Three depending on the prevalence of the disease and how fast it is spreading.
Top scientists have already warned that the restrictions may have to be toughened up over winter, with Dr Susan Hopkins saying “the "tiering of the country" had had a "different effect in each area".
She said Tier Three plus, the toughest rules in place in the North West, had led to a reduction in cases, but Tier Two depended on how well individuals follow advice.
The senior government advisor added: "We see very little effect from Tier One and when we look at what tiers may be there in the future, we will have to think about strengthening them to get us through the winter months until the vaccine is available for everyone."
So when lockdown ends, which areas are tipped to go straight back into the tough Tier Three?
According to the Metro, Hull, Oldham, Newcastle, Leeds and Scarborough are among the areas most at risk of entering Tier Three if the lockdown ends as expected on December 2.
Kingston upon Hull is the worst hit area in England currently, with 776.4 cases per 100,000 people in the week leading up to November 12.
And last week, the director of public health for Hull City Council, Julia Weldon, warned that severe restrictions would likely remain after lockdown.
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Meanwhile Oldham in Greater Manchester had 598 cases per 100,000 during the week up to November 12 – although this had dropped from 800.5 in the week previous.
Elsewhere in the region, Rochdale is also in the top 10 worst-hit areas, with 531.0 cases per 100,000 people.
Bury has had 492.7 cases per 100,000, Wigan 464.9, Salford 462.8 and Bolton 449, all of which were lower than the previous seven days.
Mayor Andy Burnham has already said there is a “strong chance” Greater Manchester will go straight back into the top tier due to the current hospital pressure.
In Lancashire, Blackburn and Darwen has the third most infections in England with 597.2 cases per 100,000 in the week to November 12.
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Lancashire was plunged into tier three in October, and currently rates remain high in Prison. Pendld, Burnley, Hyndburn and Rossendale.
Ribble Valley also has 328.5 infections per 100,000 and Blackpool currently has 319.8. Lancaster has the lowest infection rate in the county at 143.1.
In North Yorkshire, Scarborough currently has high rates at 595.8 cases per 100,000, and is the fourth most infected area in England.
Redcar and Cleveland have also seen rates soar in the previous fortnight.
The leader of Scarborough Borough Council told Greatest Hits Radio that if the region doesn’t get it under control, they’ll be back in the third tier.
In West Yorkshire Kirklees has seen an increase in cases in the last week, while Bradford also has 545.6 infections per 100,000.
The region was set to be put into tier three before the lockdown was imposed, so there is a chance that it will be plunged straight into restrictions on December 2.
The North East has had some of the most restrictions this year with areas already subject to tough rules before the lockdown.
Hartlepool, Middlesborough, Gateshead, Newcastle, Sunderland, North Tyneside and South Tyneside all have had high rates in the last seven days.
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